The Dearing Dialogue

“Malawi cannot feed its present population of 13 million - and every year its soils become more degraded and yields steadily fewer crops.

By 2050, the UN forecasts that it will have almost 32 million people - more than twice as many as today. Population growth on this scale will almost certainly leave Malawi permanently dependent on international food aid to keep millions of its people alive. (Telegraph online)”

These are harrowing statistics.  While urbanization is an important factor towards economic development, it is also dependent upon an industrial economy - in the demographic sense, an asset Malawi lacks.  Malawi’s chief exports are tobacco and maize, not cars and computers.  Farming exports typically grow GdP at a slower rate since the price of these products, especially tobacco, are typically weak in a marketplace dominated by international buyers with greater influence and options then the weak and powerless growers. 

Malawi’s cities are lacking in development focused on future population growth.  What is growing are the amount of slums in Malawi.  Currently 1.8 out of a 13 million Malawian population live in slums.  Trash is typically burnt on the city streets, power cuts are a daily occurrance, water is rationed for a few hours a day.  Transportation is painfully lacking.  Mini-buses clog the crowded streets, their exhaust spewing black fog on every corner.  Foot-traffic blocks the roadway and the news of a pedestrian being hit by a car or bus is a daily occurance.  Most city streets remain in the dark as pedestrians come within inches of passing cars as sidewalks are either lacking or blocked by makeshift vendors. 

Unemployment is rampant as more people arrive from the villages in hopes of capturing some of the riches they hear of from outside the tribal community.  The reality is that rural areas are increasingly unable to support the amount of people living there (UN Habitat).  Environmental disasters such as drought and the degradation of land from farming and deforestation has made life less habitable.  While the small amount of money they may earn as servants, vendors, or day-laborers help the home village, it also creates a reliance upon outside income, bringing more people from the rural areas to the city. 

The condition of Malawian health is at risk as well.  With a growth in urban slums, the opportunity for diseases like HIV  spreading is increased.  According to the UN, malnutrition, hunger, and disease are increasing in the urban slums such as Ndirande township in Blantyre, or Area 19 in Lilongwe.  With such growth in urban population, Malawi and development institutions will face difficult obstacles and critical decisions as economic and social problems persist. 

See State of World Population 2007

Trackback URI |